Picks for Thu 14 Sep 2023

Four picks today.


  1. Londrina v Ituano (Brazil Serie B) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.26 — won
  2. Londrina v Ituano (Brazil Serie B) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.21 — won
  3. Atlético Nacional v La Equidad (Colombia Categoria Primera A) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.54 — lost
  4. Vargas Torres v 9 de Octubre (Ecuador Primera Categoria Serie B) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.23 — won


Day close: -0.33u (3 from 4). Running: +49.38u.


DR

Comments

Post a Comment

Thanks for your comment

Popular posts from this blog

Monthly summary — March 2026

Big one, this. Quietly big. 121 bets across the month. 94 winners, 27 losers, 78% strike rate. +16.33u close. What carried the month was the volume. When the maths is in your favour and you're getting enough picks, the bank grows. 12-month average sits at +9.70u. This month's +16.33u is above the running figure. Quieter month on the calendar coming up — international break and a couple of cup weekends. Running bank now +438.99u after 35 months. The whole record is on the sheet: Steadbank Results . On to the next. DR
Read more

FULL RESULTS SPREADSHEET

Welcome in, and thanks for reading. If you've just joined, or you've been sent the link and you're having a nose around, this is the page to start on. Everything you need to find your way through the record is linked below (no pressure, just a map). FULL RESULTS SPREADSHEET View Records That sheet holds every bet I've sent since May 2023, with the running bank updated every time a pick settles. Four and a half thousand rows, three years of record, and the whole thing scrolls from the first pick to yesterday's. ⎯⎯⎯ Monthly & Yearly Reviews And here's every month-end write-up I've done since the blog opened. The two year-end reviews are bolded, so you can find them easily if you want the bigger-picture ones. Start wherever takes your fancy (I'd say November 2025 if you want the honest one and October 2023 if you want the best one). March 2026 Summary February 2026 Summary January 2026 Summary December 2025 Summary November 2025 Summary October 2025 Sum...
Read more

Monthly summary — November 2025

Bad run, clustered. It happens. 139 bets across the month. 97 winners, 42 losers, 70% strike rate. -1.34u close. Longest losing streak was 5 bets in a row. At short odds you feel a run like that properly. Six-month average has been ticking along at +10.63u. -1.34u this month is below that. Second red month on the record so far. Bad run frequency is running well under what I modelled for. The Away AH side took the hit — -3.55u across the month. Filter's watching it. Running bank now +392.60u after 31 months. Full record and every bet on the sheet: Steadbank Results . DR
Read more