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Results for Wed 29 July 2026

6 picks today. The best price on the card was one we nearly did not have at all. KV are in the Icelandic third tier, which the odds screens do not carry, so on the face of it there was no market. There was, at eight different counters, and none of them quoted the +0.25 line we wanted except one. Splitting it instead — half on the draw-no-bet at 2.15, half on the double chance at 1.70 — came out at 1.92 against the 1.86 available as a single bet. KV won 6-3, so both halves paid in full. The lesson is a dull one but it keeps earning: a line missing from the screen is not a line missing from the market. Fylkir was the other one that existed in only one place. Not a single bookmaker priced them at -1.00 — the board ran to -0.5 and then jumped straight past us to -1.5, because they were 1.17 to win the match outright. The exchange had it at 1.36 with about a tenner behind the price. They won 3-1, which on that line is the narrowest possible full win. Another goal for Völsungur and the...
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Results for Sun 26 July 2026

13 picks today. Two goals in the closing minutes decided how this one reads. Internacional de Palmira were 2-1 down in Boyacá, which on a +1.25 line is a half win, because the +1.0 leg pushes and the +1.5 leg pays. A third Patriotas goal at the death turned that into a full loss, a swing of better than a unit on one kick. Not long after, Flamengo had a goal disallowed against São Paulo and drew 1-1. At 2-1 the -1.00 line pushes. At 2-0 it wins. Neither was a poor read and both finished a single goal away from something entirely different. The -1.00 line did the rest of the damage. Yelimay drew 1-1, Flamengo drew 1-1, and a draw on that line carries no protection whatsoever, so the full stake goes every time. Add Seoul losing outright and that one line accounts for three of the six losses. Jerv supplied another two on its own. We held both the -1.50 and the -0.50 on the same fixture, they went down 2-1 at home to Lysekloster, and a single wrong read cost two units instead of one. ...
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Results for Sat 25 July 2026

9 picks today. Santos will not enjoy reading their own numbers. Twenty one shots to five. Sixty four percent of the ball. Expected goals of 1.74 to 0.86. Twelve corners to one. Fifty seven touches in the Chapecoense box against five at the other end, and ninety one entries into the final third against thirty nine. Neymar scored twice and finished with a 9.5 rating off nine shots. Santos still did not win. They led at the interval, conceded to Marcinho straight after it, put through their own net on the hour, and needed a Neymar penalty in the 89th minute simply to draw level with the team sitting bottom of the table. Matheus saved five, two of them big. On a -1.00 line none of that pays, and the full stake goes. Haka and Charlotte did the quiet opposite, winning by exactly the two goals their line asked for. Haka was the only pick on the card priced above our own model, 1.69 against a derived 1.688, so the best value we held was also the one that delivered. Both quarter lines cam...
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Results for Fri 24 July 2026

9 picks today. The pick of the night wore the wrong name. The Michigan Bucks who put four past Peoria have not been the Michigan Bucks since 2019, when the club left Pontiac for Flint and became the Flint City Bucks. Founded in 1995, four times champions of USL League Two, the most decorated amateur outfit in the country, and still filed by FootyStats under the old badge. That is how a Michigan side turned up between an Icelandic rout and a pair of Argentine handicaps. Víkingur supplied the rout, five past Keflavík. Halifax went down 3-2 in Canada and the Gold Coast youngsters shipped four before dawn, the two that got away. Both Argentine dogs lost by a single goal, which on a quarter line is not a defeat but a half, so the red ink runs thinner than the two losses suggest. Västerås SK 2-0 Örgryte (Sweden Allsvenskan) — Home AH -1.0 Västerås @ 1.98 — won St Patrick's Athl. 1-1 Dundalk (Ireland Premier Division) — Home DNB St Patrick's @ 1.23 — void (draw) Gimnasia Mend...
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Results for Thu 23 July 2026

5 picks today. Belgrano opened the Clausura with a home win over Rosario Central, and ÍH ran riot to a 5-2. Only Navbahor let us down, held to a draw where it needed a two goal win. Navbahor Namangan 1-1 Qizilqum (Uzbekistan Super League) — Home AH -1.0 Navbahor @ 1.58 — lost Orense 2-1 Aucas (Ecuador Primera Serie A) — Away AH +1.25 Aucas @ 1.20 — half won ÍH 5-2 Hafnir (Iceland 4. deild) — Home AH +0.5 ÍH @ 1.38 — won Belgrano 2-1 Rosario Central (Argentina Liga Profesional) — Home DNB Belgrano @ 1.84 — won Athletic Club 2-1 São Bernardo (Brazil Serie B) — Away AH +1.25 São Bernardo @ 1.28 — half won Day close: +0.46u (4 paid of 5). Running: +YYY.YYu. DR
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Results for Wed 22 July 2026

5 picks today. Every pick at least half landed, a clean sweep across the five. Westchester were the standout, seeing off the New York Cosmos 3-0. Plus both USL League One favourites came good on the night. Fluminense SC v Atlético Tubarão (Brazil Catarinense 2) — Home AH +0.25 Fluminense @ 2.03 — won Jaro II v GBK Kokkola (Finland Kakkonen) — Away AH +0.50 GBK @ 1.62 — won Portland Hearts of Pine v Union Omaha (USA USL League One) — Home AH +0.25 Portland @ 2.09 — half won Náutico v Londrina (Brazil Serie B) — Away AH +1.25 Londrina @ 1.44 — half won Westchester SC v NY Cosmos (USA USL League One) — Home AH +0.50 Westchester @ 1.30 — won Day close: +2.56u (5 paid of 5). Running: +YYY.YYu. DR
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A note from the desk: Sharper drift prediction

A quick note from the desk to share something we’ve been building. We are always looking for ways to hand you a better number, and this one goes right to the heart of the Asian Handicap so we wanted to walk you through it. We’ve taken a close, deliberate look at the vig  and the margin every bookmaker quietly folds into a price. It is the difference between what a price says and what the game is truly worth, and on the Asian Handicap it is where a surprising amount of value hides in plain sight. So we built a way to track the vig live on the exchanges . The exchange is where the sharpest money in the world meets, and it sets about the fairest price there is  margin stripped almost to the bone. By reading that true exchange margin and mapping it across to the handicap, we can derive an Asian Handicap price that reflects genuine fair value, rather than the padded figure a bookmaker would prefer you take. What that means for you is simple. On every pick you now get a ...
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Results for Fri 17 July 2026

A quiet green Friday. Five of the nine landed outright, but at prices this short a card like this only pays a little when two of them miss, plus 0.29u on the day, and it was Bahia that made it green. Bahia were the bet we leaned on hardest, the one true outlier on the board with a pair of books alone at 1.98 on the minus one line while the rest of the market sat around 1.61. They paid it back in full, seeing off Chapecoense two goals to nil to clear the handicap with a goal to spare. Close to a full unit from a single bet, and without it Friday reads red. The two that stung were the kind you take on the chin. Charlotte Independence’s second string could not find a way past Appalachian and went down nil-two, a Draw No Bet that only ever needed a point it never threatened to take. Changchun Yatai were the sore one with one-five at home to Wuxi Wugou, a quarter-line favourite taken apart, and there is no soft landing on a night like that. The rest of the margins fell our way. Lion...
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Results for Sun 12 July 2026

A second hard day to end the weekend, and we want to be straight with you about it. Both the result, and what we have found underneath it. First the card, and it is worth being clear about how the losses came, because this was not a day of beatings. Germinal went a goal down after 22 minutes and pushed for an equaliser all night that never came. Guaireña chased a single goal from the first half deep into stoppage time. Lakeland lost to the only goal of the game. Three of our bets beaten by one goal each, the sort of tight calls that go our way on another night. The heavier defeats were real enough, Almagro by three and Perth by two, but the shape of the day was our teams making chances and not taking them. The good news held up too. Ballard won 4-0, Subiaco and Juventus won 1-0, Racing’s draw was enough for their bet, and Fortaleza’s narrow loss still gave us half a win. Four wins and a half against six losses. Here is where we will not give you half the story. Some of this wee...
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Results for Sat 11 July 2026

A rough Saturday, and there is no point pretending otherwise. Ten bets went out and the favourites just kept coming up short. On a thin summer card, that is how a losing day gets built. Four of them came in. NWS Spirit’s youngsters won 5-1, Wanderers beat Progreso 2-0, Almirante Brown’s 1-1 draw was enough for their bet, and Estudiantes Caseros were comfortable 3-0 winners. After that it was hard going. Nanjing lost 2-0, Juventud lost 1-3, Blumenau lost 2-0 and Rafaela lost 1-3, each one beaten by the second goal rather than the first. Gwangju had a goal and a quarter of cover, but a 1-3 defeat was too much for it, and Zhetysu’s 1-0 loss left us with half a loss. We take it on the chin. One Saturday like this does not change what the numbers say over hundreds of bets. Short priced favourites win far more often than they lose, and the days they all miss together buy the days they all land together. We reset and go again. Settled bets 1. NWS Spirit U20 5-1 St George Saints ...
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Results for Fri 10 July 2026

A brilliant Friday, and exactly the kind of day the whole thing is built on. Six bets, not a single loser. Four winners, one half winner, and one that handed our stake back on a draw. Up 1.85 units on the day. The two goal and a quarter starts did the business. Drogheda won 2-1 at Dundalk and Botáfogo drew 3-3 at Sport Recife, and with that much in hand both came home comfortably. The draws were kind to us as well. UAI Urquiza were held 0-0, but our bet only needed them not to lose, so it landed. Peninsula Power’s goalless game gave us half a win. Riverside Olympic won 1-0 for a clean one, and Deportivo Maldonado’s 1-1 draw meant our Draw No Bet stake came straight back. No stress and no scares, just short priced favourites doing their jobs. We want a lot more Fridays like this one. Settled bets 1. Peninsula Power 0-0 WDSC Wolves (Aus QLD NPL). AH Peninsula +0.25 @ 1.16. HALF WON, +0.080u 2. Launceston United 0-1 Riverside Olympic (Aus Tasmania NPL). AH Riverside -0.25 @...
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Results for Wed 8 July 2026

A frustrating midweek card, three of the five in profit but the maths landing at minus 0.945u — the winners too short to outrun the two full losses. The shape of a thin summer slate, where the favourites that miss cost more than the ones that hit return. The USL League Two favourites split two from three. Lakeland United and Fort Lauderdale United both won 1-0, settling their minus 0.5 lines for plus 0.53u and plus 0.25u, but Black Rock could only draw 0-0 with FC Boston Bolts, and a minus 0.5 favourite that fails to win is a full loss however tight the game. Three short-priced home favourites, two delivered, one stalled — and at 1.53 and 1.25 the two that won simply do not cover a single 1.67 loss. The two Brazilian picks went opposite ways. Ponte Preta lost 1-2 to Criciúma, but the single-goal defeat pushed the plus 1.0 leg and won the plus 1.5 leg of the plus 1.25 for a half win of plus 0.275u — the quarter line doing precisely what it exists to do. Athletico Paranaense’s Un...
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Results for Mon 6 July 2026

A losing Monday, the column closing at minus 2.195u across seven picks on a thin summer card. Two won, one half won, one pushed and three lost — a below-par strike on a quiet, low-volume slate where the favourites asked to win largely did not oblige. The three full losses all came from sides that simply did not turn up. Sportivo Barracas were beaten 3-2 by Yupanqui, the Double Chance broken. Amazonas lost 0-2 at home to Itabaiana, both legs of the plus 0.25 gone. And Figueirense went down 3-1 at Brusque, a two-goal defeat that cleared out both legs of the plus 1.25. When a favourite loses outright there is nowhere for the handicap to hide. Where the lines did their work, they did it quietly. Mercedes were the pick of the day, a 3-0 away win at CSR Espanol banking the plus 1.25 in full at 1.27 for plus 0.27u. Benjamin Aceval drew 1-1 with Deportivo Capiatá, the draw covering the plus 0.5 Double Chance for plus 0.36u. Sao Bernardo lost 2-1 at Vila Nova but the single-goal margin ...
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Results for Sun 5 July 2026

A near perfect Sunday, and the day that answered Saturday in full. Ten picks staked, ten of them returned a profit, and the column closed at net plus 4.075u with not a single losing bet on the card. Nine won outright or were rescued by the handicap and the tenth half won, which is about as clean as a high strike rate slate ever runs. The two American lower division favourites were the engine of the day. Ballard were devastating, a 7-0 win over Tacoma Stars settling the minus 0.5 line at 1.38 for plus 0.38u, and Project 51O matched the ruthlessness with a 6-1 win over Davis Legacy for plus 0.50u. Ironbound made it three from three in USL League Two, a 3-0 win over Staten Island on the minus 0.5 for plus 0.44u. Three straight favourites, three routs, no anxiety. The Double Chance favourites all held. Rīgas FS II were the pick of them, a 2-0 win over Super Nova II banking the plus 0.5 at a generous 1.67 for plus 0.67u. Deportivo Santaní beat General Caballero 2-1 for plus 0.50u, a...
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Results for Sat 4 July 2026

A red Saturday, and the kind of day a long season has to absorb from time to time. Eleven picks were staked, six of them paid, but five went down as full unit losses and the column closed at net minus 2.46u. The pattern was the mirror image of a good day: the damage came from clean favourites failing at the front of the card, while the quarter and Double Chance cushions that usually rescue us could not stretch far enough to cover it. The green that did arrive came from the smaller northern leagues. ÍBV were the best of the night, a 1-0 win over Valur in the Icelandic top flight settling the Draw No Bet at 1.83 for plus 0.83u. Skála followed in the Faroese league, a 1-0 win over B68 landing both legs of the plus 0.25 split for plus 0.43u. Three Double Chance favourites held their end: Quilmes beat Atlético Atlanta 2-1 for plus 0.37u, Vancouver FC saw off York9 2-0 for plus 0.34u, and Temperley edged Tristán Suárez 1-0 for plus 0.35u. Levadia completed the winners, a 3-1 result at Tr...
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Results for Fri 3 July 2026

A green Friday, and a hard fought one. Eight picks, six of them either won outright or were rescued by the handicap, two went down, and the column closed at net plus 0.36u on eight units staked. It was a night where the quarter and three quarter lines did the heavy lifting: three of the winners lost their actual matches by a single goal and still paid, which is exactly what those cushions are there for. The two clean favourites carried the top of the card. KoPa were the pick of the day, a 4-2 win over STPS in the Finnish regional programme on the minus 0.5 line at 1.70 for plus 0.70u, never in doubt once they pulled clear. Cooks Hill United backed it up down in the Australian Northern NSW grade, a 3-1 win over Valentine that settled the plus 0.5 Double Chance at 1.44 for plus 0.44u. The two League of Ireland games were the story of the night, because both of our teams lost and both still returned. Sligo Rovers led at the Showgrounds through captain Will Fitzgerald, but a red ca...
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Results for Thu 2 July 2026

A narrow losing Thursday. Six picks on the main slate, four winners and two losses, settling at net minus 0.37u on six units staked, a return on investment of minus 6.2 per cent on the day. Both losses were full one unit hits — a home shutout and a two goal defeat — and together they just edged out the four winners. A red day, but a shallow one, well inside the system’s expected variance. The two minus 0.5 favourites in the Baltic and the Nordics both delivered. Tallinna Flora carried the Meistriliiga leg, taken on the minus 0.5 line away at Kuressaare, and won 3-0 (a goal up at the break) to bank plus 0.35u at 1.35. Flora, the most decorated club in Estonian football, controlled the game from front to back and the outright margin never looked in doubt. Kultsu edged a 3-2 win over MiPK in the Finnish regional card for plus 0.60u at the longer 1.60, the minus 0.5 line covered by the single goal margin and the tighter of the two but a winner all the same. The two quarter line cal...
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Results for Wed 1 July 2026

A strong Wednesday to open July. Six picks, five winners including one half on a draw and a single loss, settling at net plus 1.33u on six units staked, a return on investment of plus 22 per cent on the day. Two long price Draw No Bet winners in the United States lower divisions and a value read on the Canadian leaders did the heavy lifting. Tauras carried the Lithuania leg, taken on the minus 0.50 line as the away favourite, and won 3-1 to bank plus 0.37u at 1.37. Forge FC delivered the pick of the card, the plus 0.25 line at 1.185 landing as the league leaders beat Vancouver 3-2. Forge came into the night top of the Canadian Premier League on 25 points with eight wins from ten, against a Vancouver side still searching for a first win of the campaign, and the favourite held even with the late scare a 3-2 always brings. The two Draw No Bet calls in the United States both won. Project 51O won 4-2 to bank the biggest single return of the day, plus 0.88u at the long 1.88 take, a c...
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Results for Mon 29 June 2026

A tough Monday on a five pick slate that leaned entirely on Iceland and the Faroe Islands. The card settled at net minus 2.32u on five units staked, a return on investment of minus 46 per cent on the day. One clean winner, one half winner on a draw, and three losses. The northern summer quarter and whole lines that the system leans on this time of year all went against us bar one tonight. The Akranes double carried the Iceland leg and both calls lost as Fram Reykjavík won 2-0 on the road. Pick 1 was the Draw No Bet on Akranes at 2.10, a SPICY read on the home side scoring heavily into a leaky Fram back line. Fram instead kept the clean sheet and the leg lost one unit. Pick 2 was the plus 1.5 line on Akranes, priced through the European Handicap plus 2 home line at William Hill 1.25, which covers the same outcomes as the Asian plus 1.5 and therefore also went down on the two goal defeat, a second unit lost on the fixture. Fram arrived third in the table in strong recent form, three ...
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FULL RESULTS SPREADSHEET

Welcome in, and thanks for reading. If you've just joined, or you've been sent the link and you're having a nose around, this is the page to start on. Everything you need to find your way through the record is linked below (no pressure, just a map). Pick by Pick If you go back to the home page, you will find a log of all my previous picks and results since I started tipping. ⎯⎯⎯ FULL RESULTS SPREADSHEET View Records That spreadsheet holds every bet I've sent since May 2023, with the running bank updated every time a pick settles.  ⎯⎯⎯ Monthly & Yearly Reviews And here's every month-end write-up I've done since the blog opened. The two year-end reviews are bolded, so you can find them easily if you want the bigger-picture ones.  March 2026 Summary February 2026 Summary January 2026 Summary December 2025 Summary November 2025 Summary October 2025 Summary September 2025 Summary August 2025 Summary July 2025 Summary June 2025 Summary May 2025 Summary April 2025 ...
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Results for Sun 28 June 2026

A banner Sunday on a twelve pick slate, ten winners and two losses settling for a net of plus 2.59u on 12u staked, return on investment plus 21.6 per cent on the day. The structure of the result is as instructive as the bottom line: every single pick at the AH plus 1.25 line type either won outright or won by draw on at least one filter family, with the two losses both arising from the identical structural failure mode of the away side losing by exactly two goals. Five of the seven AH plus 1.25 picks banked clean, two SPICY long price calls both delivered including one upset, and the operator trim on Tanger from the cell’s plus 0.50 line to the safer plus 1.50 line cost roughly 0.85u of upside on the draw outcome but protected against a downside that never materialised. The AH plus 1.25 sweep is the headline structural finding of the day. Hassania Agadir at home plus 0.75 against Khemis Zemamra drew 1-1 and banked plus 0.17u on the Betfair Exchange take of 1.18 (the plus 0.75 split b...
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Results for Sat 27 June 2026

A strong Saturday on a ten pick slate (nine main and one bench), nine positive P&L picks and one loss settling for a net of plus 2.27u on 10u staked, return on investment plus 22.7 per cent on the day. The structure is doubly interesting because four of the nine winning picks banked positive P&L on non-winning match outcomes via the AH bridge split construction, exactly the design intent of running quarter line bets across two whole line legs. Two draws (Dodoma 0-0, Åtvidaberg 3-3) and two away losses by exactly one goal (América MG 0-1, Öster 1-2) all delivered positive returns through the bridge construction even though the underlying match did not deliver an outright win. The three pre-publish swaps on Pick 5 (Mashujaa to Okzhetpes to Operário) and the Pick 7 promotion of Byåsen for Criciúma all paid off cleanly. The AFC Malmö SPICY at Pick 3 was the headline call of the day. The cell was AH home zero with the pick_W4 plus filter. William Hill printed the longest DNB at 1....
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Results for Fri 26 June 2026

A painful Friday on a seven-pick slate, three winners, one full push, three full losses settling for a net of minus 2.37u on 7u staked. The shape of the day is unusual and worth dissecting carefully because every single loss came from the Kuwait Premier League and that pattern is not random variance, it is a structural failure of model coverage that the post-settlement audit has now exposed and locked into the workflow as a permanent rule change. The non-Kuwait portion of the slate ran four picks, three wins and one push, for plus 0.63u: that is the cell-quality signal still functioning correctly. The Kuwait portion, three picks all losing for minus 3.00u, is the entire deficit and the focus of this writeup. The Kuwait audit. Three picks lost in a row on Kuwait Premier today: Al Tadhamon AH home plus 0.50 (FS retail double chance X1 at 1.40, Al Tadhamon lost 3-1 outright), Al Tadhamon SPICY AH home minus 0.75 (BF Exchange direct take at 2.44, same Al Tadhamon loss settles the line), ...
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Results for Thu 25 June 2026

A choppy Thursday on a five-pick slate, two winners, one full push, one half-loss, and one full loss settling for a net of minus 0.55u on 5u staked. The shape of the day is exactly what the bridge construction was designed to produce: the two draws delivered very different settlements because the underlying AH lines treated the draw outcome differently, and the half-loss came in at exactly the structural minimum thanks to the AH plus 1.0 push leg salvaging the plus 0.75 line on a one-goal defeat. The Berkane double on Morocco’s Botola Pro is the operative example of the day. The first Berkane pick was RSB Berkane home plus 0.75 against FAR Rabat, taken at the bet365 retail quarter line of 1.38. The match closed 2-2. On a draw the DC X1 half wins outright and the AH plus 1.0 half also wins (Berkane plus 1.0 puts the adjusted scoreline at 3-2 in their favour). Both halves bank in full. The second Berkane pick, also on the same fixture, was the AH 0.00 SPICY DNB line at the bet365 retai...
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Results for Wed 24 June 2026

A scratchy Wednesday on a thin four-pick slate, settled one for two with a half-loss, minus 1.59u on the day. Three Tanzania Premier League fixtures and one Finland Kolmonen Länsi match made the cut after the country cap held the day to a single league for the bulk of it, and a key operator-level call on the KMC line proved to be the only thing standing between the slate and a substantially worse number. Young Africans against Azam in Tanzania’s opening kickoff was a textbook case of how a heavy-favourite home fixture can swing the wrong way for the dog side. Azam came in priced at 5.60 to win, with the scanner picking the away plus 0.75 SPICY line on the pick_GC1- filter. The operator switched the line out to plus 1.5 on the Exchange because the plus 0.75 line had only 135 BRL matched against it, finding the plus 1.5 line at BF 1.67 with R$146 sitting at the front. Young Africans then won 3-0 outright, and the plus 1.5 line failed in exactly the same way the plus 0.75 would have. A ...
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Results for Mon 22 June 2026

A scratchy Monday, five picks split three for two with the wins compact and the losses both full units. The slate posted minus 1.334u against the average derived take of 1.492 and an average actual take of 1.382. The shape of the day reads cleanly: the two underdog pluses that needed protection took the headline knocks, the bridge constructions held, and the BF direct routes did exactly what BF direct routes are supposed to do. The Al Qadsia minus 0.75 SPICY in Kuwait Premier was the cleanest call to make and the harshest to settle. Al Qadsia’s own most recent minus 0.75 was a winner against Al Salmiyah on the sixteenth, and the SR2 ranker had it as the strongest priced selection on the board. The minus 0.75 cell was warm coming in. Al Qadsia lost 0-2 to Kazma; the SPICY tag indicated an aggressive AH line, not an inflated edge, and on this evening the line was unkind. Iceland delivered the day’s most entertaining settlement. KR Reykjavik and IA Akranes traded eight goal...
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Results for Sun 21 June 2026

Eight winners and two losers on a ten-pick Sunday card settling for a net of +2.168u on the day, the cleanest single-Sunday performance the system has produced in a month and easily the most efficient slate of the four-day weekend recovery. Hit rate 80 per cent across all ten settled bets. Per-pick efficiency lands at +0.217u, which is roughly 2.0 times the +0.11u/pick rate the audited model projects under the N0 ship configuration. Cumulative for the month moves from -4.20u to -2.03u after the close, completing a +7.94u run since Thursday on the back of 27W / 4L / 1P across the four-day stretch. ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar took the day’s biggest single-pick payout. The Westman Islands club, founded in 1903 and one of Iceland’s most decorated provincial sides, hosted Stjörnan at Hásteinsvöllur in a Round-11 fixture of the Besta deild karla and edged the result 2-1 to land the AH ÍBV 0.00 DNB take at the Flashscore BetMGM and BetUK retail price of 2.18...
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Results for Sat 20 June 2026

Eight winners and two losers on a ten-pick Saturday card under the new N0 cap configuration, settling for a net of +0.586u on the day. Hit rate of 80 per cent across all ten settled bets is bang in line with the audit’s mean-cell-SR projection for a full Saturday slate, and the structural protection of the half-line family did the heavy lifting once again. Four of the eight wins arrived through draws on AH +0.25, +0.75 or +1.25 lines where the home or away cushion turns a deadlock into a full payout. The two losses both came on the AH +0.50 and +1.25 lines where the home team failed to even draw, which is the failure mode the system always carries. Brazil’s Serie B and Serie C delivered a split day. Vila Nova rescued the Serie B fixture in extraordinary fashion at the Serra Dourada, edging Náutico 4-3 in a goal-fest that swung either way through three different scorelines before the home side put the result beyond doubt with the fourth in the 87th minute. The AH Vila Nova +0.50 take ...
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Results for Fri 19 June 2026

Six winners from six settled picks on a Friday card that read like a how-to-guide for the system’s 12-month-trail thesis. Net settled +3.544u. Hit rate sits at 100 per cent across the six settled bets and the day’s per-pick efficiency is running at +0.59u, roughly 5.4 times the +0.11u/pick rate the audited model projects for the N0 ship configuration. Cumulative for the month moves from -8.32u to -4.78u after the settled six, with the Glenorchy pick alive to push that further toward break-even on a tidy 6.30am result. Launceston United took the day’s headline price and made it count. The Tasmania NPL Saturday morning fixture at Birch Avenue had been the cell with the deepest trail-ROI in the entire slate at +36.70 per cent over 58 bets, and the home side delivered the 3-2 outright result that the AH Launceston -0.50 line at Flashscore Unibet 2.38 needed. A 1u stake returned +1.38u net of bookmaker, the cleanest single-pick payout of the night, and Ulverstone’s late goal was never eno...
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