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Showing posts from March, 2025

Monthly summary — March 2025

Decent month. 150 bets across the month. 108 winners, 42 losers, 72% strike rate. +7.65u close. Longest losing run mid-month was 4 bets on the bounce. Felt longer than it reads. 23 months without a red one now. The numbers say one's overdue on paper — the numbers don't always get their way. Six-month average has been ticking along at +16.19u. +7.65u this month is below that. 23 months in the green in a row. Not the time to change anything. Running bank now +313.96u after 23 months. Full audit on the sheet: Steadbank Results . DR

Picks for Mon 31 Mar 2025

Four picks today. Fauve Azur Elite v Panthère (Cameroon Elite One) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.24 — won Milan U20 v Sampdoria U20 (Italy Campionato Primavera 1) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.28 — lost Milan U20 v Sampdoria U20 (Italy Campionato Primavera 1) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.22 — lost Hellas Verona v Parma (Italy Serie A) — Under 3.5 goals @ 1.28 — won Day close: -1.49u (2 from 4). Running: +313.96u. DR

Picks for Sun 30 Mar 2025

7 picks today. KÍ v EB - Streymur (Faroe Islands Faroe Islands Premier League) — Home AH -0.75 @ 1.65 — won Kowloon City v North District (Hong Kong Hong Kong Premier League) — Home AH -0.75 @ 2.61 — lost Kaya v Taguig (Philippines Pfl) — Away AH +0.25 @ 2.45 — lost Motherwell W v Hibernian W (Scotland SWPL 1) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.55 — won Motherwell W v Hibernian W (Scotland SWPL 1) — Away AH -0.50 @ 1.42 — won Dundee United W v Queen's Park W (Scotland SWPL 1) — Away AH -0.50 @ 2.69 — won Cheonan City v Gimpo Citizen (South Korea K League 2) — Away AH +0.25 @ 1.45 — won Day close: +1.27u (5 from 7). Running: +315.45u. DR

Picks for Sat 29 Mar 2025

7 picks today. Werder Bremen Women v Eintracht Frankfurt W (Germany Frauen Bundesliga) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.72 — won Turbine Potsdam v Hoffenheim Women (Germany Frauen Bundesliga) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.51 — won Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou v Diagoras (Greece Super League 2) — Away AH +0.25 @ 1.42 — won Makedonikos Neapolis FC v Kampaniakos Chalastra (Greece Super League 2) — Away AH +0.25 @ 2.29 — won Makedonikos Neapolis FC v Kampaniakos Chalastra (Greece Super League 2) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.42 — won Eastern v Hong Kong (Hong Kong Hong Kong Premier League) — Home AH -0.75 @ 1.52 — lost Dynamic Herb Cebu v Loyola (Philippines Pfl) — Away AH +0.25 @ 2.89 — lost Day close: +0.57u (5 from 7). Running: +314.18u. DR

Picks for Fri 28 Mar 2025

Five picks today. Nacional Potosí v Club Always Ready (Bolivia LFPB) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.24 — won Tranmere Rovers v Cheltenham Town (England EFL League Two) — Under 3.5 goals @ 1.27 — won Pianese v Pontedera (Italy Serie C) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.37 — won Kazma v Yarmouk (Kuwait Premier League) — Home win @ 1.30 — won Unirea Slobozia v Petrolul 52 (Romania Liga I) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.23 — won Day close: +1.26u (5 from 5). Running: +313.61u. DR

Picks for Thu 27 Mar 2025

Five picks today. Quilmes v Colegiales (Argentina Prim B Nacional) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.24 — won Aldosivi v Unión Santa Fe (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.68 — won Aldosivi v Unión Santa Fe (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.87 — won Fauve Azur Elite v Dynamo de Douala (Cameroon Elite One) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.35 — lost Once Caldas v Llaneros (Colombia Categoria Primera A) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.62 — won Day close: +1.00u (4 from 5). Running: +312.35u. DR

Picks for Wed 26 Mar 2025

Two up today. Canon de Yaoundé v Bamboutos (Cameroon Elite One) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.61 — lost Sunshine Stars v Heartland (Nigeria Npfl) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.26 — won Day close: -0.88u (1 from 2). Running: +311.36u. DR

Picks for Tue 25 Mar 2025

One pick today. Carlisle United v Milton Keynes Dons (England EFL League Two) — Under 3.5 goals @ 1.37 — lost Day close: -1.00u (0 from 1). Running: +312.23u. DR

Picks for Mon 24 Mar 2025

One pick today. Rionegro Águilas v Envigado (Colombia Categoria Primera A) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.68 — won Day close: +0.32u (1 from 1). Running: +313.23u. DR

Picks for Sun 23 Mar 2025

7 picks today. Deportivo Armenio v Fénix (Argentina Prim B Metro) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.41 — won Deportivo Armenio v Fénix (Argentina Prim B Metro) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.51 — won Central Norte v Club Atlético Mitre (Argentina Prim B Nacional) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.40 — lost New Lambton v Lake Macquarie (Australia Northern NSW NPL) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.66 — won Makedonikos Neapolis FC v Iraklis 1908 (Greece Super League 2) — Away AH +0.25 @ 1.27 — won UD Melilla v Illescas (Spain Segunda Division Rfef Group 5) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.59 — won Móstoles v Getafe II (Spain Segunda Division Rfef Group 5) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.32 — won Day close: +1.10u (6 from 7). Running: +312.91u. DR

Picks for Sat 22 Mar 2025

7 picks today. San Martín Burzaco v Flandria (Argentina Prim B Metro) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.56 — won San Martín Burzaco v Flandria (Argentina Prim B Metro) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.70 — won La Equidad v Fortaleza CEIF (Colombia Categoria Primera A) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.33 — won Asteras Tripolis II v AOX Kissamikos (Greece Super League 2) — Away AH +0.25 @ 1.54 — won Sassari Torres v Rimini (Italy Serie C) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.53 — lost Sorrento Calcio v Latina (Italy Serie C) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.44 — won Denbigh Town v Bangor 1876 (Wales Faw Championship) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.56 — won Day close: +1.96u (6 from 7). Running: +311.80u. DR

Picks for Fri 21 Mar 2025

Two up today. Unión Santa Fe v Racing Club (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.66 — lost Unión Santa Fe v Racing Club (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.83 — lost Day close: -2.00u (0 from 2). Running: +309.85u. DR

Picks for Wed 19 Mar 2025

Two up today. Wolfsburg Women v Barcelona W (Europe UEFA Womens Champions League) — Away AH -0.25 @ 1.46 — won Manchester City Women v Chelsea Women (Europe UEFA Womens Champions League) — Away AH -0.25 @ 2.51 — lost Day close: -0.56u (1 from 2). Running: +311.85u. DR

Picks for Tue 18 Mar 2025

Four picks today. Atlético Tucumán v Vélez Sarsfield (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.46 — lost Atlético Tucumán v Vélez Sarsfield (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.57 — lost Real Madrid W v Arsenal Women (Europe UEFA Womens Champions League) — Away AH -0.25 @ 2.12 — lost Bayern München Women v Olympique Lyonnais Women (Europe UEFA Womens Champions League) — Away AH -0.25 @ 1.77 — won Day close: -2.27u (1 from 4). Running: +312.41u. DR

Picks for Mon 17 Mar 2025

Four picks today. Unión Santa Fe v Banfield (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.42 — won Unión Santa Fe v Banfield (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.51 — won Lanús v Instituto (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.29 — won Sloboda Užice v Semendrija 1924 (Serbia Prva Liga) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.43 — won Day close: +1.36u (4 from 4). Running: +314.68u. DR

Picks for Sun 16 Mar 2025

7 picks today. Unión Magdalena v Boyacá Chicó (Colombia Categoria Primera A) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.49 — won 07 Vestur v HB (Faroe Islands Faroe Islands Premier League) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.59 — won Panionios v Egaleo (Greece Super League 2) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.83 — won Southern District v Rangers (Hong Kong Hong Kong Premier League) — Home AH -0.75 @ 2.30 — won Montrose W v Partick Thistle Women (Scotland SWPL 1) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.92 — lost Queen's Park W v Spartans W (Scotland SWPL 1) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.57 — won Montrose W v Partick Thistle Women (Scotland SWPL 1) — Away AH -0.50 @ 1.73 — lost Day close: +0.31u (5 from 7). Running: +313.33u. DR

Picks for Sat 15 Mar 2025

7 picks today. Carl Zeiss Jena W v RB Leipzig W (Germany Frauen Bundesliga) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.74 — lost Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou v Kavala (Greece Super League 2) — Away AH +0.25 @ 1.50 — won North District v Hong Kong (Hong Kong Hong Kong Premier League) — Home AH -0.75 @ 2.36 — won Udinese U20 v Torino U20 (Italy Campionato Primavera 1) — Home AH +0.25 @ 2.76 — won Udinese U20 v Torino U20 (Italy Campionato Primavera 1) — Home AH +0.50 @ 2.29 — won St. Gallen v Lausanne Sport (Switzerland Super League) — Home DNB @ 1.76 — lost Khon Kaen United v Nong Bua Pitchaya (Thailand Thai League T1) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.61 — lost Day close: +0.18u (4 from 7). Running: +313.02u. DR

Picks for Fri 14 Mar 2025

Five picks today. Al Batin v Al Safa (Saudi Arabia First Division) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.46 — won Aberdeen v Dundee United W (Scotland SWPL 1) — Home AH -0.75 @ 1.56 — won Aberdeen v Dundee United W (Scotland SWPL 1) — Home AH -0.50 @ 1.43 — won AmaZulu v TS Galaxy (South Africa Premier Soccer League) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.21 — won Şanlıurfaspor v Erokspor (Turkey 1 Lig) — Home AH -0.25 @ 2.16 — lost Day close: +0.26u (4 from 5). Running: +312.84u. DR

Picks for Thu 13 Mar 2025

Five picks today. El Geish v Ismaily SC (Egypt Premier League) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.30 — lost El Geish v Ismaily SC (Egypt Premier League) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.37 — lost Pro Patria v Arzignano Valchiampo (Italy Serie C) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.31 — won Pro Vercelli v Atalanta II (Italy Serie C) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.30 — won UPDF v KCCA (Uganda Premier League) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.52 — won Day close: -1.17u (3 from 5). Running: +312.59u. DR

Picks for Wed 12 Mar 2025

Five picks today. Mekelakeya v Fasil Ketema (Ethiopia Premier League) — Away AH +0.50 @ 1.86 — won OFK Vršac v Radnički Sr. Mitrovica (Serbia Prva Liga) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.58 — won Olimpija v Mura (Slovenia Prvaliga) — Under 3.5 goals @ 1.27 — won Marumo Gallants v Sekhukhune United (South Africa Premier Soccer League) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.26 — won Gabès v Etoile du Sahel (Tunisia Ligue 1) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.53 — lost Day close: +0.77u (4 from 5). Running: +313.76u. DR

Picks for Tue 11 Mar 2025

Five picks today. Independiente Rivadavia v Unión Santa Fe (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.55 — won Independiente Rivadavia v Unión Santa Fe (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.69 — won Coca-Cola v Smouha SC (Egypt Premier League) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.50 — won Coca-Cola v Smouha SC (Egypt Premier League) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.62 — won Accrington Stanley v Newport County (England EFL League Two) — Under 3.5 goals @ 1.37 — lost Day close: +1.23u (4 from 5). Running: +312.99u. DR

Picks for Mon 10 Mar 2025

Five picks today. San Telmo v Talleres Remedios (Argentina Prim B Nacional) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.41 — won Werder Bremen Women v Hoffenheim Women (Germany Frauen Bundesliga) — Away AH -0.75 @ 2.69 — lost Hassania Agadir v Difaâ El Jadida (Morocco Botola Pro) — Away AH +0.50 @ 1.63 — won Al Jubail v Al-Ain (Saudi Arabia First Division) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.29 — won RCD Espanyol v Girona FC (Spain La Liga) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.74 — won Day close: +0.96u (4 from 5). Running: +311.76u. DR

Picks for Sun 9 Mar 2025

7 picks today. Canon de Yaoundé v Union Douala (Cameroon Elite One) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.48 — won KÍ v 07 Vestur (Faroe Islands Faroe Islands Premier League) — Home AH -0.75 @ 1.58 — won Carl Zeiss Jena W v Bayer Leverkusen Women (Germany Frauen Bundesliga) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.56 — won Warriors v Southern District (Hong Kong Hong Kong Premier League) — Home AH -0.75 @ 1.73 — lost Bologna U20 v Sampdoria U20 (Italy Campionato Primavera 1) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.58 — won Bologna U20 v Sampdoria U20 (Italy Campionato Primavera 1) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.46 — won Cheonan City v Asan Mugunghwa (South Korea K League 2) — Away AH +0.25 @ 1.46 — lost Day close: +0.30u (5 from 7). Running: +310.80u. DR

Picks for Sat 8 Mar 2025

7 picks today. New Lambton v Edgeworth Eagles (Australia Northern NSW NPL) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.67 — won Turbine Potsdam v Freiburg Women (Germany Frauen Bundesliga) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.67 — won Asteras Tripolis II v AEK Athens II (Greece Super League 2) — Away AH +0.25 @ 1.85 — lost Kitchee v North District (Hong Kong Hong Kong Premier League) — Home AH -0.75 @ 1.57 — won Cremonese U20 v Empoli U20 (Italy Campionato Primavera 1) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.49 — won CR Khemis Zemamra v FAR Rabat (Morocco Botola Pro) — Away AH +0.50 @ 1.45 — won Mendiola v PFF Developmental Club (Philippines Pfl) — Away AH +0.25 @ 1.70 — won Day close: +1.49u (6 from 7). Running: +310.50u. DR

Picks for Fri 7 Mar 2025

Five picks today. US Biskra v NC Magra (Algeria Ligue 1) — Home AH -0.50 @ 2.01 — won Mekelakeya v Welwalo Adigrat Uni (Ethiopia Premier League) — Away AH +0.50 @ 2.62 — won HB v B68 (Faroe Islands Faroe Islands Premier League) — Home AH -0.75 @ 1.61 — won Riadi Salmi v Olympic Safi (Morocco Botola Pro) — Away AH +0.50 @ 1.49 — won Kolos Kovalivka v Oleksandria (Ukraine Ukrainian Premier League) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.50 — won Day close: +3.50u (5 from 5). Running: +309.02u. DR

Picks for Thu 6 Mar 2025

Five picks today. Oued Akbou v Paradou AC (Algeria Ligue 1) — Home AH -0.50 @ 2.22 — lost Hyderabad v Minerva Punjab (India Super League) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.24 — won Al Wahda v Al Raed (Saudi Arabia Professional League) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.36 — lost KMC v Singida Big Stars (Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.50 — won Ankaragücü v Yeni Malatyaspor (Turkey 1 Lig) — Home AH -0.25 @ 1.22 — won Day close: -1.09u (3 from 5). Running: +305.52u. DR

Picks for Wed 5 Mar 2025

Five picks today. Canon de Yaoundé v Young Sport Academy (Cameroon Elite One) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.55 — lost Mekelle Kenema v Awassa Kenema (Ethiopia Premier League) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.21 — lost Carl Zeiss Jena W v Freiburg Women (Germany Frauen Bundesliga) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.73 — won Eastern v Southern District (Hong Kong Hong Kong Premier League) — Home AH -0.75 @ 1.75 — won Chippa United v Orlando Pirates (South Africa Premier Soccer League) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.63 — won Day close: -0.65u (3 from 5). Running: +306.61u. DR

Picks for Tue 4 Mar 2025

Five picks today. Atlético Tucumán v Newell's Old Boys (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.47 — lost Atlético Tucumán v Newell's Old Boys (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.38 — lost Al Ittihad v Smouha SC (Egypt Premier League) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.63 — lost Al Ittihad v Smouha SC (Egypt Premier League) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.80 — lost Mebrat Hayl v Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopia Premier League) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.43 — won Day close: -3.80u (1 from 5). Running: +307.26u. DR

Picks for Mon 3 Mar 2025

Five picks today. San Lorenzo v Racing Club (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.46 — won San Lorenzo v Racing Club (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.57 — won Al Masry v Coca-Cola (Egypt Premier League) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.46 — won Perugia v Ascoli (Italy Serie C) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.44 — won Borac Čačak v Radnički Sr. Mitrovica (Serbia Prva Liga) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.46 — won Day close: +1.84u (5 from 5). Running: +311.06u. DR

Picks for Sun 2 Mar 2025

7 picks today. New Lambton v Broadmeadow Magic (Australia Northern NSW NPL) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.53 — won Asteras Tripolis II v Panachaiki (Greece Super League 2) — Away AH +0.25 @ 1.50 — won Maharlika v Aguilas (Philippines Pfl) — Away AH +0.25 @ 1.30 — won Queen's Park W v Partick Thistle Women (Scotland SWPL 1) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.48 — lost Dundee United W v Montrose W (Scotland SWPL 1) — Away AH -0.75 @ 2.04 — won Dundee United W v Montrose W (Scotland SWPL 1) — Away AH -0.50 @ 1.82 — won Cheonan City v Bucheon 1995 (South Korea K League 2) — Away AH +0.50 @ 1.26 — won Day close: +2.27u (6 from 7). Running: +309.22u. DR

Picks for Sat 1 Mar 2025

7 picks today. Aldosivi v Sarmiento (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.40 — won Aldosivi v Sarmiento (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.50 — won Atlético Bucaramanga v Junior (Colombia Categoria Primera A) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.41 — won Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou v Niki Volos (Greece Super League 2) — Away AH +0.25 @ 1.48 — won Makedonikos Neapolis FC v PAS Giannina (Greece Super League 2) — Away AH +0.25 @ 1.47 — lost Atalanta U20 v Bologna U20 (Italy Campionato Primavera 1) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.31 — lost Lechia Gdańsk v Śląsk Wrocław W (Poland Ekstraliga Women) — Home AH +0.25 @ 2.48 — won Day close: +0.64u (5 from 7). Running: +306.95u. DR