Posts

Showing posts from September, 2025

Monthly summary — September 2025

Clean month, no drama. 132 bets across the month. 99 winners, 33 losers, 75% strike rate. +10.50u close. Strike rate at 75%, about bang on the long-term average. Nothing in it. 29 months in the green in a row. Not the time to change anything. Away AH side did the work this month. 59 selections, +12.71u close on that bucket alone. Had the old man on the phone asking if I was still 'doing the football'. Running bank now +387.39u after 29 months. The whole record is on the sheet: Steadbank Results . Right, on with it. DR

Picks for Tue 30 Sep 2025

Two up today. 9 de Octubre v San Antonio (Ecuador Primera Categoria Serie B) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.41 — won Valencia CF v Real Oviedo (Spain La Liga) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.21 — lost Day close: -0.61u (1 from 2). Running: +387.39u. DR

Picks for Mon 29 Sep 2025

Five picks today. Genoa v Lazio (Italy Serie A) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.29 — lost Cittadella v Pro Patria (Italy Serie C) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.55 — won Cittadella v Pro Patria (Italy Serie C Group A) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.55 — won Sporting Cristal v Ayacucho (Peru Primera Division) — Under 3.5 goals @ 1.62 — won Utsikten v Brage (Sweden Superettan) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.23 — won Day close: +0.87u (4 from 5). Running: +388.00u. DR

Picks for Sun 28 Sep 2025

7 picks today. First Vienna W v Kleinmünchen / BW Linz (Austria Frauenliga) — Home AH -0.75 @ 1.62 — lost São Bernardo v Floresta (Brazil Serie C) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.59 — won Al Nasar v Al Tadhamon (Kuwait Premier League) — Home AH -0.25 @ 2.33 — lost FCSB v Oţelul Galaţi (Romania Liga I) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.58 — won Montrose W v Celtic W (Scotland SWPL 1) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.42 — won Partick Thistle Women v Hearts W (Scotland SWPL 1) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.57 — won Hamilton Academical v Hibernian W (Scotland SWPL 1) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.44 — won Day close: +0.20u (5 from 7). Running: +387.13u. DR

Picks for Sat 27 Sep 2025

7 picks today. Aldosivi v Argentinos Juniors (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +1.00 @ 1.47 — lost Aldosivi v Argentinos Juniors (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.92 — lost Juventude v Internacional (Brazil Serie A) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.41 — won Tampere United II v TPV II (Finland Kolmonen Lansi) — Home AH -0.25 @ 1.40 — won PAS Giannina v PAOK II (Greece Super League 2) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.40 — won ThespaKusatsu Gunma v Sagamihara (Japan J3 League) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.46 — won Manila Digger v Taguig (Philippines Pfl) — Away AH +0.25 @ 2.57 — lost Day close: -1.41u (4 from 7). Running: +386.93u. DR

Picks for Fri 26 Sep 2025

Five picks today. Favoritner AC v Horn (Austria Regionalliga Ost) — Away AH +0.50 @ 1.43 — won Al Kuwait v Al Qadsia (Kuwait Premier League) — Home win @ 1.90 — won Dhamk v Al Ittifaq (Saudi Arabia Professional League) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.20 — won Lund v Rosengard (Sweden Ettan South) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.42 — won Kudrivka v Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (Ukraine Ukrainian Premier League) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.21 — won Day close: +2.10u (5 from 5). Running: +388.34u. DR

Picks for Thu 25 Sep 2025

Five picks today. Pro Patria v AlbinoLeffe (Italy Serie C Group A) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.22 — won Ayacucho v Juan Pablo II College (Peru Primera Division) — Under 3.5 goals @ 1.29 — won Grafičar v Loznica (Serbia Prva Liga) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.54 — won CA Osasuna v Elche CF (Spain La Liga) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.43 — won Amed v Sarıyer (Turkey 1 Lig) — Home AH -0.25 @ 1.44 — won Day close: +1.86u (5 from 5). Running: +386.24u. DR

Picks for Wed 24 Sep 2025

Five picks today. Club Brugge II v Lommel United (Belgium First Division B) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.30 — won Vila Nova v Cuiabá (Brazil Serie B) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.31 — won Vinotinto v Cumbayá (Ecuador Primera Categoria Serie B) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.31 — lost EB - Streymur v KÍ (Faroe Islands Faroe Islands Premier League) — Away AH -0.50 @ 1.39 — won Cavese v Latina (Italy Serie C) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.49 — won Day close: +0.41u (4 from 5). Running: +384.38u. DR

Picks for Tue 23 Sep 2025

Five picks today. Olympic Charleroi v RSC Anderlecht II (Belgium First Division B) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.24 — won Dundee United v Aberdeen (Scotland Premiership) — Home AH +0.75 @ 1.45 — won Dundee United v Aberdeen (Scotland Premiership) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.60 — won Boluspor v Ümraniyespor (Turkey 1 Lig) — Home AH -0.25 @ 1.50 — lost 76 Iğdır Belediyespor v Hatayspor (Turkey 1 Lig) — Home AH -0.25 @ 1.49 — won Day close: +0.69u (4 from 5). Running: +383.97u. DR

Picks for Mon 22 Sep 2025

Five picks today. Boyacá Chicó v Deportivo Pereira (Colombia Categoria Primera A) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.31 — won Al Qadsia v Al Fahaheel (Kuwait Premier League) — Home win @ 1.45 — won Alianza Atlético v Ayacucho (Peru Primera Division) — Under 3.5 goals @ 1.26 — won Csikszereda v Metaloglobus (Romania Liga I) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.42 — won Obolon-Brovar v Karpaty (Ukraine Ukrainian Premier League) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.46 — lost Day close: +0.39u (4 from 5). Running: +383.28u. DR

Picks for Sun 21 Sep 2025

7 picks today. Rosario Central v Talleres Córdoba (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.44 — won Tartu JK Welco v FC Tallinn (Estonia Esiliiga) — Home AH -0.50 @ 1.52 — lost TB v B36 (Faroe Islands Faroe Islands Premier League) — Away AH -0.50 @ 1.47 — won Nürnberg W v Bayer Leverkusen Women (Germany Frauen Bundesliga) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.58 — won 1. FC Koln Women v Wolfsburg Women (Germany Frauen Bundesliga) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.60 — won Taguig v Aguilas (Philippines Pfl) — Away AH +0.25 @ 2.73 — lost CFR Cluj v UTA Arad (Romania Liga I) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.56 — won Day close: -0.25u (5 from 7). Running: +382.89u. DR

Picks for Sat 20 Sep 2025

7 picks today. Rheindorf Altach W v LASK (Austria Frauenliga) — Home AH -0.75 @ 2.07 — lost Londrina v Caxias (Brazil Serie C) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.47 — won Makedonikos Neapolis FC v PAS Giannina (Greece Super League 2) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.41 — won Makedonikos Neapolis FC v PAS Giannina (Greece Super League 2) — Away AH +0.25 @ 2.27 — lost Stallion v Dynamic Herb Cebu (Philippines Pfl) — Away AH +0.25 @ 1.61 — won Rekord Bielsko-Biała W v UKS SMS Lodz (Poland Ekstraliga Women) — Home AH +0.25 @ 2.38 — lost Kitayosce v Dodoma Jiji (Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.44 — won Day close: -1.56u (4 from 7). Running: +383.14u. DR

Picks for Fri 19 Sep 2025

Five picks today. B68 v NSÍ (Faroe Islands Faroe Islands Premier League) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.68 — won Osaka v Giravanz Kitakyushu (Japan J3 League) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.50 — won Al Nasar v Al Salmiyah (Kuwait Premier League) — Home AH +0.25 @ 2.10 — lost Pogoń Tczew v Lechia Gdańsk (Poland Ekstraliga Women) — Home AH +0.25 @ 2.23 — lost Botoşani v FCSB (Romania Liga I) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.41 — won Day close: -0.49u (3 from 5). Running: +384.70u. DR

Picks for Thu 18 Sep 2025

Five picks today. Chacaritas v Vinotinto (Ecuador Primera Categoria Serie B) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.41 — won Sporting CP W v Roma W (Europe UEFA Womens Champions League) — Away AH -0.25 @ 1.74 — won Ferencváros W v Vålerenga Women (Europe UEFA Womens Champions League) — Away AH -0.25 @ 1.34 — won Kazma v Al Tadhamon (Kuwait Premier League) — Home AH -0.25 @ 1.60 — lost Al Zulfi v Al Jubail (Saudi Arabia First Division) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.38 — lost Day close: -0.08u (3 from 5). Running: +385.19u. DR

Picks for Wed 17 Sep 2025

Four picks today. Wilstermann v Nacional Potosí (Bolivia LFPB) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.30 — lost San Antonio v Leones del Norte (Ecuador Primera Categoria Serie B) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.22 — won Al Mokawloon v Pharco (Egypt Premier League) — Home AH +0.75 @ 1.20 — won Al Mokawloon v Pharco (Egypt Premier League) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.31 — won Day close: -0.31u (3 from 4). Running: +385.27u. DR

Picks for Tue 16 Sep 2025

Four picks today. América de Cali v Atlético Bucaramanga (Colombia Categoria Primera A) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.37 — won Zhetysu v Kaisar (Kazakhstan Premier League) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.44 — won ADT v UTC Cajamarca (Peru Primera Division) — Under 3.5 goals @ 1.48 — lost Al Faisaly v Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia First Division) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.42 — won Day close: +0.17u (3 from 4). Running: +385.57u. DR

Picks for Mon 15 Sep 2025

Five picks today. Villa San Carlos v UAI Urquiza (Argentina Prim B Metro) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.44 — won Villa San Carlos v UAI Urquiza (Argentina Prim B Metro) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.36 — won Osaka v Tochigi City (Japan J3 League) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.24 — won Grafičar v Dinamo Jug (Serbia Prva Liga) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.62 — won RCD Espanyol v RCD Mallorca (Spain La Liga) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.41 — won Day close: +1.85u (5 from 5). Running: +385.40u. DR

Picks for Sun 14 Sep 2025

7 picks today. Tigre v Talleres Córdoba (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.50 — won Sarmiento v Aldosivi (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.42 — won Tigre v Talleres Córdoba (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.62 — won LASK v Kleinmünchen / BW Linz (Austria Frauenliga) — Home AH -0.75 @ 2.41 — won RB Leipzig W v Bayern München Women (Germany Frauen Bundesliga) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.53 — won Kauno Žalgiris v Trakai (Lithuania A Lyga) — Under 3.5 goals @ 1.65 — lost Manila Digger v Stallion (Philippines Pfl) — Away AH +0.25 @ 2.56 — won Day close: +2.09u (6 from 7). Running: +383.55u. DR

Picks for Sat 13 Sep 2025

7 picks today. Crawley Town v Cheltenham Town (England EFL League Two) — Under 3.5 goals @ 1.42 — won Nürnberg W v Werder Bremen Women (Germany Frauen Bundesliga) — Away AH -0.75 @ 2.11 — won Parceiro Nagano v Gainare Tottori (Japan J3 League) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.40 — won Al Qadsia v Al Nasar (Kuwait Premier League) — Home win @ 1.48 — won Taguig v Dynamic Herb Cebu (Philippines Pfl) — Away AH +0.25 @ 1.78 — lost Pogoń Szczecin v UJ Kraków W (Poland Ekstraliga Women) — Home AH -0.75 @ 1.60 — lost Metaloglobus v CFR Cluj (Romania Liga I) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.74 — won Day close: +1.04u (5 from 7). Running: +381.47u. DR

Picks for Fri 12 Sep 2025

Five picks today. Neusiedl v Donau (Austria Regionalliga Ost) — Away AH +0.50 @ 1.54 — won Pharco v Al Ittihad (Egypt Premier League) — Home AH +0.75 @ 1.62 — won JK Tallinna Kalev U21 v FC Tallinn (Estonia Esiliiga) — Home AH -0.50 @ 2.26 — lost ACE v Tervakosken Pato (Finland Kolmonen Lansi) — Home AH -0.25 @ 1.34 — won Al Arabi v Al Shabab (Kuwait Premier League) — Home AH -0.25 @ 1.32 — won Day close: +0.73u (4 from 5). Running: +380.43u. DR

Picks for Thu 11 Sep 2025

Two up today. Imbabura SC v Cumbayá (Ecuador Primera Categoria Serie B) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.36 — won Eintracht Frankfurt W v Real Madrid W (Europe UEFA Womens Champions League) — Away AH -0.25 @ 2.07 — won Day close: +1.36u (2 from 2). Running: +379.70u. DR

Picks for Mon 8 Sep 2025

Three picks today. Colón v Estudiantes Río Cuarto (Argentina Prim B Nacional) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.30 — won Novorizontino v Atlético GO (Brazil Serie B) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.32 — won Carl Zeiss Jena W v Hoffenheim Women (Germany Frauen Bundesliga) — Away AH -0.75 @ 1.61 — won Day close: +1.17u (3 from 3). Running: +378.34u. DR

Picks for Sun 7 Sep 2025

Four picks today. Austria Wien W v First Vienna W (Austria Frauenliga) — Home AH -0.75 @ 1.65 — won América de Cali v Deportivo Cali (Colombia Categoria Primera A) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.58 — won Team Altamura v Cavese (Italy Serie C) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.23 — won Team Altamura v Cavese (Italy Serie C Group C) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.23 — won Day close: +1.50u (4 from 4). Running: +377.17u. DR

Picks for Sat 6 Sep 2025

7 picks today. Neulengbach v LASK (Austria Frauenliga) — Home AH -0.75 @ 2.47 — lost Newport County v Bristol Rovers (England EFL League Two) — Under 3.5 goals @ 1.44 — lost Cheltenham Town v Accrington Stanley (England EFL League Two) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.22 — won Harrogate Town v Crawley Town (England EFL League Two) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.24 — won JPS v HaPK (Finland Kakkonen) — Home AH -0.75 @ 2.86 — won Borac Čačak v Kabel Novi Sad (Serbia Prva Liga) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.33 — won Ängelholm v Rosengard (Sweden Ettan South) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.46 — won Day close: +0.85u (5 from 7). Running: +375.67u. DR

Picks for Fri 5 Sep 2025

Four picks today. Temperley v Talleres Remedios (Argentina Prim B Nacional) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.23 — won Colegiales v San Martín Tucumán (Argentina Prim B Nacional) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.21 — lost Paysandu v Volta Redonda (Brazil Serie B) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.46 — won Deportivo Pasto v Boyacá Chicó (Colombia Categoria Primera A) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.37 — lost Day close: -1.34u (2 from 4). Running: +374.82u. DR

Picks for Thu 4 Sep 2025

One pick today. TPV II v Loiske (Finland Kolmonen Lansi) — Home AH -0.25 @ 2.32 — won Day close: +1.25u (1 from 1). Running: +376.16u. DR

Picks for Wed 3 Sep 2025

One pick today. Independiente Juniors v Leones del Norte (Ecuador Primera Categoria Serie B) — Home AH +1.25 @ 1.23 — won Day close: +0.22u (1 from 1). Running: +374.91u. DR

Picks for Tue 2 Sep 2025

Four picks today. Ferro Carril Oeste v Racing Córdoba (Argentina Prim B Nacional) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.52 — won Ferro Carril Oeste v Racing Córdoba (Argentina Prim B Nacional) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.42 — won América Mineiro v Avaí (Brazil Serie B) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.22 — lost Chacaritas v Cumbayá (Ecuador Primera Categoria Serie B) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.90 — won Day close: +0.50u (3 from 4). Running: +374.69u. DR

Picks for Mon 1 Sep 2025

Four picks today. Defensores de Belgrano v Colón (Argentina Prim B Nacional) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.32 — won Platense v Godoy Cruz (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.25 @ 1.45 — lost Platense v Godoy Cruz (Argentina Primera Division) — Home AH +0.50 @ 1.36 — lost Trajal Krusevac v Dinamo Jug (Serbia Prva Liga) — Away AH +1.25 @ 1.46 — lost Day close: -2.70u (1 from 4). Running: +374.19u. DR