Results for Fri 12 June 2026

A nine pick Friday closed at +1.01u against an expected EV of +1.92u. The first slate to draw from the new 5,373 system pool merged overnight delivered seven wins or half wins and two full losses, the second of two SPICY tier picks taking the variance hit but the slate leader covering both losses on its own.

Al Salmiya at home to Al Kuwait was the call of the day. Skybet posting the Al Salmiya Double Chance Home or Draw at 2.75 was a clean five pip retail edge over Betfair’s 2.70, and the cell signal said the home side had a 75 percent shape regardless of which way the game went. Zero zero at full time. A goalless draw covered the bridge fully and paid +1.75u on the 1u stake. That single result kept the slate positive even after two full losses elsewhere.

The two backfill_jun11 cells making their live debut both cashed. SaPa Pieksamaki took Vaajakoski 4-2 in Finland Kolmonen Ita, the Draw No Bet leg paying out at 1.23 from All British Casino. KFR 3-3 with Ulfarnir in Iceland 4 Deild covered the Double Chance at Betway 1.80. Both held at quarter stake per the new cell watchlist protocol. Two wins from two on the first emission is a strong opening signature, and from next confirmed win they go to full stake.

Two losses tested the edge. Al Nasar took the SPICY tier and went the wrong way 1-2 to Kazma, both legs of the +0.25 bridge dying full at -1.00u. Melbourne Knights one nil down at home to Brunswick Juventus saw the DNB at 1.34 die clean. The splits saved more than they cost. Coastal Union drew 1-1 in Tanzania so the +0.25 split paid +0.165u after the DNB pushed and the DC 1X took the draw cover. Galway lost by one at home to Dundalk so the +1.25 split paid +0.124u after the +1.0 leg pushed and the +1.5 wing took the cushion. Shelbourne 2-1 winners over Shamrock paid the +0.50 bridge clean at +0.513u after exchange commission. Babrungas 1-0 winners away to Hegelmann Litauen 2 closed the slate at +0.20u on the BetMGM Money Line take of 1.20.

Day close: +1.01u on 9 picks. The 5,373 system pool produced two of those wins on its first live emission. Backfill watchlist enters next phase with both cells holding.

1. Hegelmann Litauen 2 0-1 Babrungas (Lithuania 1 Lyga). AH -0.50 Babrungas away (= MW outright) @ 1.20 (FS BetMGM). WON, +0.20u
2. Al Salmiya 0-0 Al Kuwait (Kuwait Premier League). AH +0.50 Al Salmiya home (= DC 1X) @ 2.75 (FS Skybet). WON, +1.75u
3. SaPa Pieksamaki 4-2 Vaajakoski Reds (Finland Kolmonen Ita) [NEW backfill_jun11, 0.25u stake]. DNB Pieksamaki home @ 1.23 (All British Casino). WON, +0.058u
4. Shelbourne 2-1 Shamrock Rovers (RoI Premier Division). AH +0.50 Shelbourne home (= DC 1X) @ 1.54 (Betfair Exchange). WON, +0.513u
5. Al Nasar 1-2 Kazma (Kuwait Premier League) SPICY. AH +0.25 Al Nasar home split bridge @ 2.21 (BF DNB 2.62 + BF DC 1X 1.80). LOST, -1.00u
6. KFR 3-3 Ulfarnir (Iceland 4 Deild) [NEW backfill_jun11, 0.25u stake] SPICY. AH +0.50 KFR home (= DC 1X) @ 1.80 (Betway). WON, +0.20u
7. Coastal Union 1-1 Namungo (Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara). AH +0.25 Coastal Union home split bridge @ 1.435 (Unibetuk DNB 1.54 + Skybet DC 1X 1.33). HALF-WON, +0.165u
8. Galway United 0-1 Dundalk (RoI Premier Division). AH +1.25 Galway home split @ 1.26 (Betfair Exchange). HALF-WON, +0.124u
9. Melbourne Knights 0-1 Brunswick Juventus (Aus Vic NPL). AH 0.00 Melbourne home (= DNB) @ 1.34 (FS Unibetuk). LOST, -1.00u

Day close: +1.01u on 9 picks

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