Picks for Tue 12 May 2026

Three picks today, all winners — the six-day losing run is snapped with a clean 3 from 3 on the AH +1.25 away workhorse line. So Kabel Novi Sad clipped FAP 2-1 in the Serbia relegation play-off, paying the +1.25 cover full at 1.40 after the queue filled. Plus Levante held their cover at Celta with a 3-2 win on the La Liga stage, the deepest book on the slate at 1.47. And São Bernardo flattened Londrina 3-0 in Brazil Serie B to round it off at 1.23. After six days at 48% strike rate against the long-run 78-81% norm the bank is finally regressing toward mean — same line, same gate, same prices, the variance just landed on the right side this time. Expect the next 10-20 firings to continue normalising back toward audit baseline rather than another anomaly cluster.

1. FAP v Kabel Novi Sad (Serbia Prva Liga) — Away AH +1.25 Kabel Novi Sad @ 1.40 — won
2. Celta de Vigo v Levante UD (Spain La Liga) — Away AH +1.25 Levante UD @ 1.47 — won
3. Londrina v São Bernardo (Brazil Serie B) — Away AH +1.25 São Bernardo @ 1.23 — won

Day close: +1.10u (3 paid of 3). Running: +439.59u.

DR