Results for Fri 22 May 2026

8 picks across 6 fixtures. 4 wins, 4 losses. Day P&L -2.00u.

A 50-50 night on a Nordic-heavy slate, with the two correlated double-positions splitting in opposite directions. Keflavík delivered the clean win at home, paying both the +0.25 and the +0.50 cells; the Suwon double-tap in Korea moved the other way when Gyeongnam edged a 3-2 result and Suwon couldn't quite cover either half-line. Kingborough Lions were the headline retail-only overlay and they justified the 1.67 at Unibetuk with a 4-0 away rout. Drogheda's 1-1 draw at home to Dundalk took the +0.50 DC line full, and the bigger disappointments came in single-pick fixtures — Qviding lost narrowly at home in Sweden Division 2 and KA went down to Valur 0-1 in the Iceland Úrvalsdeild headline match.

1. Clarence Zebras 0-4 Kingborough Lions (Australia NPL Tasmania) — MW Kingborough Lions ≡ AH -0.50 A @ 1.67 (Unibetuk) — WON, +0.67u
2. Gyeongnam 3-2 Suwon (South Korea K League 2) — AH +0.50 Suwon @ 1.44 (Betfair Exchange) — LOST, −1.00u
3. Gyeongnam 3-2 Suwon (South Korea K League 2) — AH +0.25 Suwon @ 1.54 (Betfair Exchange) — LOST, −1.00u
4. KA 0-1 Valur (Iceland Úrvalsdeild) — AH +0.00 KA (DNB) @ 1.90 (Betfair Exchange) — LOST, −1.00u
5. Keflavík 1-0 Thór (Iceland Úrvalsdeild) — AH +0.25 Keflavík @ 1.34 (Betfair Exchange) — WON, +0.34u
6. Drogheda 1-1 Dundalk (Republic of Ireland Premier Division) — AH +0.50 Drogheda ≡ DC 1X @ 1.69 (Betfair Exchange) — WON, +0.69u
7. Keflavík 1-0 Thór (Iceland Úrvalsdeild) — AH +0.50 Keflavík ≡ DC 1X @ 1.30 (Betfair Exchange) — WON, +0.30u
8. Qviding 1-2 Onsala (Sweden Division 2 Västra Götaland) — AH +0.25 Qviding @ 1.45 retail bridge (Skybet MW + DC 1X) — LOST, −1.00u

Aside on Kingborough. The Tasmania NPL has no Betfair AH market and the 1.67 quote on the Lions at Unibetuk looked generous against a 1.42 derived. The 4-0 result vindicates the model's strength signal — when scanner-fair sits that far below retail in a thin AH market, the retail-only path is usually right to take. Subscribers without retail accounts skipped this leg without slate-level damage; those who took it carried the rest of the day single-handedly.

The Suwon double cost a unit each — a tight 3-2 in Korea where Suwon scored late but couldn't close the gap. AH cells on the away dog get punished hardest when the favourite wins by exactly one more than the line. Both Suwon lines (+0.25 and +0.50) sat on +19% trail ROI going in, so the cell signal was strong — the math just didn't fall our way tonight.

Day close: −2.00u. Running: +441.85u.

DR