Results for Mon 25 May 2026

5 picks across 5 fixtures. 4 outright wins, 1 loss. Day P&L +0.665u.

The bank rebuilds after Sunday's heavy session. The headline of the day was Union Carl Berner in Norway 3rd Division group 1, the marginal SPICY pick that sat exactly one tick above the take-floor at SpreadEX, paying out the 0.70u in full on a 1-0 home win. So a watch-list selection delivered the day's biggest single ticket. Plus Envigado came back from 1-2 down in Colombia to win 3-2 away at Real Cartagena, covering the +1.25 line comfortably. Horsens travelled to Lyngby in the Danish 1st Division and won 2-0 to land both halves of the bet365 +1.25 split. HB Torshavn dug out a 2-1 away win at B68 in the Faroe Islands Premier, settling the MW plus DNB bridge at the full +0.325u. The single loss was Bohemians at home to Shamrock Rovers in the Dublin derby, where the visitors edged a 2-1 result and took both legs of the DNB plus DC bridge with them.

1. B68 1-2 HB Torshavn (Faroe Islands Premier League) — AH -0.25 HB Torshavn (away) blend (0.5u MW @ 1.46 + 0.5u DNB @ 1.19) @ 1.325 eff (Betfair Exchange) — WON, +0.325u
2. Real Cartagena 2-3 Envigado (Colombia Categoría Primera B) — AH +1.25 Envigado ≡ BF direct "Envigado +1.0 & +1.5" @ 1.36 (Betfair Exchange split-line) — WON, +0.36u
3. Lyngby 0-2 Horsens (Denmark 1st Division) — AH +1.25 Horsens blend (0.5u AH +1.0 @ 1.33 + 0.5u AH +1.5 @ 1.23) @ 1.28 eff (bet365 split-line) — WON, +0.28u
4. Bohemians 1-2 Shamrock Rovers (Republic of Ireland Premier Division) — AH +0.25 Bohemians (home) blend (0.5u DNB @ 1.79 + 0.5u DC 1X @ 1.45) @ 1.62 eff (Betfair Exchange) — LOST, −1.00u
5. Union Carl Berner 1-0 Ullern (Norway 3. Division group 1) — AH -0.50 Union Carl Berner ≡ MW @ 1.70 (SpreadEX retail) — WON, +0.70u

Aside on Union Carl Berner. The cell sat right on the watch-list line going in, with a 1.69 take-floor against a 1.70 SpreadEX print, and that single tick of headroom is normally the kind of edge that needs a wide margin to feel safe. But the Norwegian 3rd Division home tag held up and the goal came inside the first half. A reminder that a thin margin is still a margin when the underlying SR sits in the mid-seventies and the trail counts are in the right ballpark.

Day close: +0.665u. Running: +440.460u.

DR