Results for Sat 23 May 2026

8 picks across 5 fixtures. 7 wins (one half-win), 1 loss. Day P&L +2.32u.

A clean rebound after Friday's 50-50 result. Two of the three double-positions paid in full and the third half-paid on a draw, with Uppsala the lone disappointment. Hradec Králové U19 ran out a 3-0 winner against Slavia Praha U19 — comfortable cover on the -0.5 line. Hammarby W travelled to Kristianstad and edged it 1-0, banking both the -0.5 and -0.25 cells without drama. Al Salmiyah delivered the headline result at home in Kuwait, ruthless 3-0 over Al Shabab that crushed both the -0.5 and the -0.25 blend-bridge legs. The Karlstad-Arlanda 0-0 was the variance amplifier — full pay on the +0.5 DC line and a half-win on the +0.25 quarter via the draw-refund mechanic. Uppsala W were the only down note, losing 4-2 at Brommapojkarna where the +0.25 line gave no protection against a two-goal margin defeat.

1. Hradec Králové U19 3-0 Slavia Praha U19 (Czech U19 League) — AH -0.50 Hradec ≡ MW @ 1.53 (Betfred) — WON, +0.53u
2. Kristianstad W 0-1 Hammarby W (Sweden Allsvenskan Women) — AH -0.50 Hammarby ≡ MW @ 1.46 (BetMGM) — WON, +0.46u
3. Kristianstad W 0-1 Hammarby W (Sweden Allsvenskan Women) — AH -0.25 Hammarby @ 1.32 (derived MW + DNB blend) — WON, +0.32u
4. Brommapojkarna W 4-2 Uppsala W (Sweden Allsvenskan Women) — AH +0.25 Uppsala @ 2.50 (derived) — LOST, −1.00u
5. Al Salmiyah 3-0 Al Shabab (Kuwait Premier League) — AH -0.50 Al Salmiyah ≡ MW @ 1.54 (Unibetuk) — WON, +0.54u
6. Al Salmiyah 3-0 Al Shabab (Kuwait Premier League) — AH -0.25 Al Salmiyah blend (0.5u MW @ 1.54 + 0.5u DNB @ 1.22) — WON, +0.38u
7. FBK Karlstad 0-0 FC Arlanda (Sweden Division 1 Norra) — AH +0.25 Arlanda @ 1.86 (Betfair Exchange) — HALF WON, +0.43u
8. FBK Karlstad 0-0 FC Arlanda (Sweden Division 1 Norra) — AH +0.50 Arlanda ≡ DC X2 @ 1.66 (Betfair Exchange) — WON, +0.66u

Aside on Karlstad-Arlanda. The 0-0 was the textbook case for why we run the quarter + half doubles on the away dog. The +0.50 leg paid full because Draw-or-Away covers a goalless draw, and the +0.25 leg paid the half-win mechanic — half stake refunded for the AH 0 leg (push), half stake collected at 1.86 on the +0.5 leg. Net on the position: +1.09u from 2u staked on the same fixture, with neither team scoring. The model called Arlanda's unbeaten run on a road trip; the score was the model's second-most-rewarding outcome after an outright Arlanda win.

Al Salmiyah also worth a note — scanner had them priced as moderate favourites, market priced them as heavy ones, and the actual 3-0 vindicated the market view. Both lines paid clean, with the blend bridge on the -0.25 quarter executing as expected (the MW leg and the DNB leg both winning when the favourite wins outright by any margin).

Day close: +2.32u. Running: +444.17u.

DR