Results for Mon 22 June 2026

A scratchy Monday, five picks split three for two with the wins compact and the losses both full units. The slate posted minus 1.334u against the average derived take of 1.492 and an average actual take of 1.382. The shape of the day reads cleanly: the two underdog pluses that needed protection took the headline knocks, the bridge constructions held, and the BF direct routes did exactly what BF direct routes are supposed to do.

The Al Qadsia minus 0.75 SPICY in Kuwait Premier was the cleanest call to make and the harshest to settle. Al Qadsia’s own most recent minus 0.75 was a winner against Al Salmiyah on the sixteenth, and the SR2 ranker had it as the strongest priced selection on the board. The minus 0.75 cell was warm coming in. Al Qadsia lost 0-2 to Kazma; the SPICY tag indicated an aggressive AH line, not an inflated edge, and on this evening the line was unkind.

Iceland delivered the day’s most entertaining settlement. KR Reykjavik and IA Akranes traded eight goals across ninety minutes, KR home in front 5-3 by the close. The plus 0.25 split was constructed half on Betfair DNB at 1.35 with R$1480 sitting on the front rung, half on FS Double Chance Home or Draw at 1.20 across Betway, Ladbrokes and Coral. Both legs settled comfortably on a home win.

Al Kuwait dispatched Al Arabi 3-2 in the second Kuwait Premier fixture of the day, the plus 0.50 line on Al Kuwait settling as Double Chance Home or Draw at 1.20 across five retail bookmakers. Plus 0.200u on a clean home win and the pick_unbeaten filter held. The third win of the day arrived from Brazil Serie C where Confiança took Guarani apart 2-0, the plus 1.25 line locked in fully on Betfair Exchange at 1.21 with R$3103 of depth on the front rung.

The bad news came in Serie B. Ponte Preta were home underdogs against a strongly fancied Novorizontino, and the plus 1.25 line was the exact handicap to protect against a one goal loss or worse. The match closed Novorizontino 2 Ponte Preta 0. The split was carried 0.5u on bet365 plus 1.0 at 1.58 and 0.5u on bet365 plus 1.5 at 1.35, effective price 1.465. At a one goal loss the half stake on plus 1.5 would have refunded and the half on plus 1.0 would have full-won, salvaging roughly plus 0.27u. At exactly 2-0 both legs settle as losses and the unit is gone.

1. Al Qadsia 0-2 Kazma (Kuwait Premier League). AH Al Qadsia -0.75 SPICY @ 1.76 (Betfair Exchange direct). LOST, -1.000u
2. KR Reykjavik 5-3 IA Akranes (Iceland Besta deild). AH KR +0.25 split @ BF DNB 1.35 + FS DC X1 1.20, eff 1.275. WON, +0.266u
3. Al Kuwait 3-2 Al Arabi (Kuwait Premier League). AH Al Kuwait +0.50 (DC X1) @ 1.20 (FS BetMGM/Ladbrokes/10bet/BetUK/Coral). WON, +0.200u
4. Ponte Preta 0-2 Novorizontino (Brazil Serie B). AH Ponte Preta +1.25 split @ bet365 +1.0 1.58 + bet365 +1.5 1.35, eff 1.465. LOST, -1.000u
5. Confiança 2-0 Guarani (Brazil Serie C). AH Confiança +1.25 @ 1.21 (Betfair Exchange direct). WON, +0.1995u

Day net: -1.334u. Strike: 3W / 2L / 0P (60 per cent).