Results for Sun 21 June 2026

Eight winners and two losers on a ten-pick Sunday card settling for a net of +2.168u on the day, the cleanest single-Sunday performance the system has produced in a month and easily the most efficient slate of the four-day weekend recovery. Hit rate 80 per cent across all ten settled bets. Per-pick efficiency lands at +0.217u, which is roughly 2.0 times the +0.11u/pick rate the audited model projects under the N0 ship configuration. Cumulative for the month moves from -4.20u to -2.03u after the close, completing a +7.94u run since Thursday on the back of 27W / 4L / 1P across the four-day stretch.

ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar took the day’s biggest single-pick payout. The Westman Islands club, founded in 1903 and one of Iceland’s most decorated provincial sides, hosted Stjörnan at Hásteinsvöllur in a Round-11 fixture of the Besta deild karla and edged the result 2-1 to land the AH ÍBV 0.00 DNB take at the Flashscore BetMGM and BetUK retail price of 2.18. A 1u stake returned +1.18u with no commission on the retail route, the cleanest single-pick payout of the night and a textbook reward for the new shadow-betlog cold-cell rebuild. Coming into the slate the ÍBV pick had been excluded under the previous cold-cell pass on a single prior loss; rerunning the V3 EXCLUDE rule against the freshly-rebuilt archive added it back as a SPICY-tagged entry at +19.02 per cent adjusted ROI, and the home side justified the inclusion with the result. This is exactly the kind of cell the Stage 2.5 archive-rebuild discipline was meant to surface.

The other SPICY anchor on the slate also paid full. 07 Vestur Sørvágur and AB Árgir played out on the Faroe Premier League’s Sørvagsvöllur and the home side took the contest 2-0, settling the AH 07 Vestur +0.25 split-bridge through both legs. The 0.5u Flashscore 10bet DNB 07 Vestur at 2.25 paid out on the outright, as did the 0.5u Flashscore Skybet Double Chance X1 (07 Vestur or Draw) at 1.67, combining for +0.96u net with no commission on either retail leg. Two SPICY-tagged picks delivering full payouts in the same Sunday is uncommon under the N0 cap regime and adds +2.14u in combined contribution from the two anchors alone.

Estonia’s Esiliiga produced the slate’s highest-Adj_ROI cell. Tartu JK Welco took out Nõmme United’s U21 side 5-2 at the Tartu Annelinna staadion, settling the AH Tartu -0.50 outright take at the Flashscore 7BetUK 1X2 price of 1.31 for a clean +0.31u with no commission. The cell’s huge_favdog_gap filter had been flagging the Tartu pick at +22.51 per cent adjusted ROI before kickoff, the strongest after-take efficiency on the slate, and the three-goal cushion made the AH cushion irrelevant well before the final whistle. Kazakhstan’s Premier League contributed the second-biggest payout: Atyrau took the away result 2-1 at the Yelimay Semey ground, settling the AH Atyrau +1.25 split-bridge take at the Flashscore 7BetUK direct price of 1.71 for a clean +0.71u with no commission on the retail bookmaker route.

Brazil’s Serie B contributed the day’s split-decision ledger. São Bernardo, the home side at Estadio 1º de Maio, lost 0-1 to Juventude in a flat performance where the home team never threatened the result, costing the full 1u on the AH São Bernardo +0.50 take at the Flashscore BetMGM Double Chance X1 price of 1.41. The other two Brazilian Serie B picks were both promotions from bench against the original Iceland triple-stack, and both paid: Goiás saw Operário Paranaense take a 3-0 away win, settling the AH Operário +1.25 split bridge through both legs of the +1.0 and +1.5 sub-bridge for +0.255u net at a Flashscore split synthetic price of 1.255, and CRB-Fortaleza drew 1-1 to pay the AH Fortaleza +1.25 take at the Flashscore bet365 direct price of 1.23 for +0.23u net. The Fram-Vikingur and Breidablik-KA picks that were swapped out for these two Brazilian fixtures on the basis of Adjusted-ROI ranking would have produced one loss and one push, so the swap captured roughly +0.5u over the alternative.

Argentina’s Primera B Metropolitana contributed the day’s tightest split-bridge payout. Talleres Remedios de Escalada and Comunicaciones played out goalless at the Estadio Pablo Comelli, settling the AH Comunicaciones +1.25 take at the Betfair Exchange direct back of 1.30 with both legs of the +1.0 and +1.5 split covering cleanly on a draw, for +0.285u net after the standard 5 per cent commission. Morocco’s Botola Pro added one more win on the day, Hassania Agadir taking out UTS Rabat 1-0 at the Stade Adrar to settle the AH Hassania +0.50 Double Chance X1 take at the Betfair Exchange back of 1.25 for +0.238u net after commission. The Hassania pick had carried the slate’s tightest pre-settle Adjusted ROI at +8.81 per cent, and the cell’s deep N=91 sample at +12.93 per cent ROI was the basis for keeping the pick despite the tight take pricing.

The day’s only other loss came from Sweden’s Ettan Södra, where Ariana FC (which trades on FlashScore as AFC Malmo following an alias added to the fixture name map this morning) lost 1-2 to BK Olympic away. The AH Ariana 0.00 DNB take at the Betfair Exchange direct price of 1.34 cost the full 1u on the home loss, the structural failure mode where the home side neither wins nor draws. Two losses across ten picks at 80 per cent strike rate sits just below the slate’s mean cell SR of 87 per cent, well within expected single-day variance.

Three production notes worth recording. First, today was the second full run under the formal Stage 2.5 integrity-gate workflow that shipped this morning: shadow_scan_week.py rebuilt the cold-cell map from the freshly-refreshed FootyStats archive back through May 18, the active-system N/A odds audit (242 cells across 311 active leagues) confirmed all 126 active-league fixtures had valid 1X2 odds with no FlashScore mining required, and the live tracker results.csv had the Friday and Saturday settlements appended in sequence before the scanner emitted. Second, three slate-changing modifications were applied between the first scanner pass and the published card: Aktobe was dropped after the Betfair Exchange best back at 1.16 came in 5 per cent below the scanner derived 1.240, and the Fram and Breidablik Iceland picks were swapped out for Goiás and CRB on Adjusted-ROI ranking grounds (the Iceland-Urvalsdeild triple-stack of 3 picks was released to just the ÍBV SPICY anchor, with two Brazilian Serie B picks taking the place). Third, the cumulative for the month closes the week at -2.03u, recovering +7.94u over the four-day Thursday-to-Sunday stretch from the -9.97u start. Monday’s slate has not yet been built and the next CSV is expected in the morning.

1. 07 Vestur 2-0 AB Árgir (Faroe Islands Premier League). AH 07 Vestur +0.25 split @ FS 10bet DNB 2.25 + FS Skybet DC X1 1.67, half stakes. WON, +0.960u
2. Ariana FC (AFC Malmo) 1-2 BK Olympic (Sweden Ettan Södra). AH Ariana 0.00 DNB @ 1.34 (Betfair Exchange direct). LOST, -1.000u
3. Tartu JK Welco 5-2 Nõmme United U21 (Estonia Esiliiga). AH Tartu -0.50 @ 1.31 (Flashscore 7BetUK 1X2 home). WON, +0.310u
4. ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar 2-1 Stjörnan (Iceland Besta deild karla). AH ÍBV 0.00 DNB @ 2.18 (Flashscore BetMGM/BetUK retail). WON, +1.180u
5. São Bernardo 0-1 Juventude (Brazil Serie B). AH São Bernardo +0.50 (DC X1) @ 1.41 (Flashscore BetMGM/BetUK retail). LOST, -1.000u
6. Hassania Agadir 1-0 UTS Rabat (Morocco Botola Pro). AH Hassania +0.50 (DC X1) @ 1.25 (Betfair Exchange direct, 5 per cent commission). WON, +0.238u
7. Yelimay 1-2 Atyrau (Kazakhstan Premier League). AH Atyrau +1.25 split @ 1.71 (Flashscore 7BetUK direct). WON, +0.710u
8. Talleres Remedios de Escalada 0-0 Comunicaciones (Argentina Primera B Metropolitana). AH Comunicaciones +1.25 split @ 1.30 (Betfair Exchange direct, 5 per cent commission). WON, +0.285u
9. Goiás 0-3 Operário PR (Brazil Serie B). AH Operário +1.25 split @ FS Betano AH +1.0 1.31 + FS bet365 AH +1.5 1.20, half stakes, synth 1.255. WON, +0.255u
10. CRB 1-1 Fortaleza (Brazil Serie B). AH Fortaleza +1.25 split @ 1.23 (Flashscore bet365 direct). WON, +0.230u

Day net: +2.168u. Strike: 8W / 2L / 0P (80 per cent). Cumulative: -2.03u. Four-day stretch (Thu-Sun): 27W / 4L / 1P, +7.94u.