Results for Sat 11 July 2026

A rough Saturday, and there is no point pretending otherwise. Ten bets went out and the favourites just kept coming up short. On a thin summer card, that is how a losing day gets built.

Four of them came in. NWS Spirit’s youngsters won 5-1, Wanderers beat Progreso 2-0, Almirante Brown’s 1-1 draw was enough for their bet, and Estudiantes Caseros were comfortable 3-0 winners. After that it was hard going. Nanjing lost 2-0, Juventud lost 1-3, Blumenau lost 2-0 and Rafaela lost 1-3, each one beaten by the second goal rather than the first. Gwangju had a goal and a quarter of cover, but a 1-3 defeat was too much for it, and Zhetysu’s 1-0 loss left us with half a loss.

We take it on the chin. One Saturday like this does not change what the numbers say over hundreds of bets. Short priced favourites win far more often than they lose, and the days they all miss together buy the days they all land together. We reset and go again.

Settled bets

1. NWS Spirit U20 5-1 St George Saints U20 (NPL NSW U20). AH NWS -0.25 @ 1.53 / 1.21. WON, +0.370u
2. Gwangju 1-3 Pohang Steelers (K League 1). AH Gwangju +1.25 @ 1.57. LOST, -1.000u
3. All Boys 1-1 Almirante Brown (Argentina Primera Nacional). AH Almirante +1.25 @ 1.19. WON, +0.190u
4. Estudiantes Caseros 3-0 Mitre (Argentina Primera Nacional). AH Estudiantes +0.5 @ 1.17. WON, +0.170u
5. Blumenau 0-2 Hercílio Luz (Brazil Catarinense 2). AH Blumenau +0.25 @ 1.96 / 1.22. LOST, -1.000u
6. At. Rafaela 1-3 Deportivo Maipú (Argentina Primera Nacional). AH Rafaela +0.5 @ 1.31. LOST, -1.000u
7. Wanderers 2-0 Progreso (Uruguay Primera). AH Wanderers +0.5 @ 1.29. WON, +0.290u
8. Dalian Huayi 2-0 Nanjing City (China League One). AH Nanjing +0.25 @ 1.96. LOST, -1.000u
9. Juventud 1-3 Torque (Uruguay Primera). AH Juventud +0.5 @ 1.57. LOST, -1.000u
10. Zhetysu 0-1 Altay (Kazakhstan Premier). AH Zhetysu +0.75 @ 1.23. HALF LOST, -0.500u

Day net: minus 4.48u. Strike: 4 wins, 5 losses, 1 half loss.