Results for Mon 17 August 2026

4 picks. All four won. Up 3.67 units, the best return per position of the month.

Fram at 2.70 was the longest price and the biggest return. They beat Stjarnan 3-1 giving a goal, which pays 1.70 units on its own. That was the pick where I said the price had drifted our way through the day, out from 2.60 to 2.70, and that two independent ways of pricing the line both landed around 2.71 to 2.77 — so we were taking fair value with essentially nothing shaved off it. You rarely get that at a counter and it came off.

Both whole lines won by exactly two, which is one goal from a push. Nõmme United U21 won 2-0 and Fram 3-1. On a minus 1.00 you need two, and both got two and no more. Worth noticing on a clean-sweep day: a single goal in either game and the return halves. That is not a criticism of the picks, it is the honest margin they won by.

Recoleta drew and that was a win, not a rescue. A plus 0.50 on the away side is a Double Chance exactly — draw or away and nothing else. Temuco and Recoleta finished 1-1 and it paid 0.77 units at 1.81. I had written that the price had drifted our way since we first looked and that a bet lengthening after we flag it has historically been the better half of our record. It lengthened and it landed.

Alianza drew 3-3 and returned 0.275 units. That was the one where I told you plainly that the bargain available in the morning had gone by the afternoon — Betway's Draw No Bet had shortened from 2.40 to 1.95 — and that we had re-run it on the new numbers and it still stood, at a fair price rather than a mispriced one. A 3-3 draw is exactly the outcome a plus 0.25 is built to catch.

1. Nõmme United U21 2-0 Nõmme Kalju U21 (Estonia) — Home AH -1.00 Nõmme Utd @ 1.97 — won
2. Deportes Temuco 1-1 Deportes Recoleta (Chile Primera B) — Away AH +0.50 Recoleta @ 1.81 — won
3. Fram 3-1 Stjarnan (Iceland) — Home AH -1.00 Fram @ 2.70 — won
4. Santos FC de Ica 3-3 Alianza Universidad (Peru) — Away AH +0.25 Alianza, bridged @ 1.75 — part-win on the draw

Day close: +3.67u (4 won from 4).

A clean sweep is a nice thing to write up and it means no more than the two losing days last week did. Four bets is four bets.