Results for Sat 15 August 2026

11 picks across two waves. Seven won, three pushed, one lost. Up 3.88 units and the best day of the month.

Three pushes in one day, and all three landed on the number exactly. Gwangju were beaten by one on a plus 1.00. Smedby won by one on a minus 1.00. KTP won by one on a minus 1.00. Three whole lines, three results sitting precisely on the handicap, three stakes returned untouched.

I said this after the pushes a week ago and it holds: a whole line landing on its exact number is not a near miss. It is the market and the model agreeing about where a game sat, and the game obliging. Three of them in an afternoon is unusual, and on a day where one bet lost, those three returned stakes are the difference between a good day and an ordinary one.

The two Queensland youth games at six on Sunday morning were the two biggest prices on the slip and both won. Gold Coast United U23 won 4-3 at 1.89 and Moreton City U23 won 3-2 at 2.20, both Draw No Bet. I asked you to set them the night before rather than plan to be up for them, and between them they returned more than two units. On Moreton I pointed out that Betway were showing 1.91 against 2.20 at five other shops. That gap is worth about a third of a unit on its own.

Manly United U20 was the biggest single return. A minus 0.25 is built differently from a plus 0.25 — half on Draw No Bet and half on the straight match winner, so a draw is a half loss rather than a half win. They won 3-1, both halves paid, and it returned 1.20 units at a blended 2.195.

Byåsen drew 0-0 and paid half a unit. That was the pick where I told you not to take the posted quarter at 2.18 and to build it instead for 2.325. On a goalless draw the Draw No Bet half came back and the Double Chance half won at 2.00. Building it rather than buying it is worth more on a draw than on a win, because the draw settles on the second leg alone.

Atlético GO lost 0-2 at home and was the only outright defeat.

1. Yunnan Yukun 3-1 Dalian (Chinese Super League) — Home AH 0.00 Yunnan @ 1.70 — won
2. Manly United U20 3-1 NWS Spirit U20 (Australia U20 NPL NSW) — Home AH -0.25 Manly, bridged @ 2.195 — won
3. Gwangju 1-2 Pohang Steelers (South Korea K League 1) — Home AH +1.00 Gwangju @ 1.35 — push
4. Byåsen 0-0 Volda TI (Norway 3. divisjon Gr. 2) — Home AH +0.25 Byåsen, bridged @ 2.325 — part-win on the draw
5. Smedby 1-0 Eker Örebro (Sweden Div 2 Södra Svealand) — Home AH -1.00 Smedby @ 1.55 — push
6. KTP 2-1 KäPa (Finland Ykkösliiga) — Home AH -1.00 KTP @ 1.38 — push
7. Atlético GO 0-2 Vila Nova (Brazil Série B) — Home AH +0.50 Atlético GO @ 1.25 — lost
8. CA Mitre 1-1 CA Guemes (Argentina Primera Nacional) — Home AH +0.25 Mitre, bridged @ 1.24 — part-win on the draw
9. Wanderers 1-1 Cerro Largo (Uruguay Primera División) — Home AH +0.50 Wanderers @ 1.30 — won
10. Gold Coast United U23 4-3 Eastern Suburbs U23 (Australia NPL Queensland Youth) — Home DNB @ 1.89 — won
11. Moreton City U23 3-2 Queensland Lions U23 (Australia NPL Queensland Youth) — Home DNB @ 2.20 — won

Day close: +3.88u (7 won, 3 pushed, 1 lost from 11).

Eleven positions is a heavy day by our standards and I would rather it were spread out. It is not a target and I am not chasing volume; it is simply how many cells qualified. Some days there are four.