Results for Sun 16 August 2026

10 picks across two waves. Six won, one pushed, three lost. Up 0.15 units — which is to say the morning made two units and the evening handed them back.


The early card went four from four. Suzhou drew 0-0 and a plus 0.50 pays on a draw. Forward won 5-0 on a minus 1.00 that was never in question. Rana won 3-1 away. Jerv drew and returned nine hundredths on the shortest price of the day. Two and a bit units by quarter to three.


On Forward I had written that the market was moving onto our side — their match price had shortened from 1.68 to 1.40 through the morning while the handicap had not caught up. That was the whole bet, and it came in 5-0. Sometimes the read is right and the game agrees.


The late card lost two units. Egersund were beaten 4-0, Flora lost 3-2 at home, Lugano lost 2-1. Three defeats out of six, and one of the three that survived only pushed.


Levadia is the push and it is a clean example. They won 2-1 away, which on a minus 1.00 is exactly the handicap. Stake back. I had also written that this was the closest agreement anywhere on the card between two independent ways of pricing it — the handicap ladder said 1.45, our own number was within one per cent of that. Both readings agreed, and the game landed precisely on the line they agreed about.


A word on Unibet, since I made a point of them before three o'clock. They held the best price on three separate picks and I told you to have that account ready. Kalju won, Flora lost, Levadia pushed. The advice was about where to get the best number, not about which would win, and I would give it again — twelve and a half per cent on Kalju is worth having whichever way it lands. But it is worth saying out loud that the shop carrying the best prices carried two of the three that did not pay.


  1. Suzhou Dongwu 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun (China League One) — Home AH +0.50 Suzhou @ 1.75 — won
  2. Forward 5-0 Syrianska (Sweden Div 2 Södra Svealand) — Home AH -1.00 Forward @ 1.80 — won
  3. Follo 1-3 Rana FK (Norway 2. divisjon Gr. 2) — Away AH +0.25 Rana, bridged @ 1.51 — won
  4. Sandviken 2-2 Jerv (Norway 2. divisjon Gr. 1) — Away AH +0.25 Jerv, bridged @ 1.215 — part-win on the draw
  5. Egersund 0-4 Stabæk (Norway OBOS-ligaen) — Home AH 0.00 Egersund @ 2.20 — lost
  6. Harju JK Laagri 1-2 Levadia (Estonia Meistriliiga) — Away AH -1.00 Levadia @ 1.37 — push
  7. Tristán Suárez 3-1 Almirante Brown (Argentina Primera B Metro) — Home AH +0.25 Suárez, bridged @ 1.38 — won
  8. Nõmme Kalju 3-1 Pärnu JK Vaprus (Estonia Meistriliiga) — Home AH -1.00 Kalju @ 1.62 — won
  9. Flora 2-3 Kuressaare (Estonia Meistriliiga) — Home AH -1.00 Flora @ 1.54 — lost
  10. Lugano 1-2 Club Luján (Argentina Primera C) — Home AH +0.25 Lugano, bridged @ 1.84 — lost


Day close: +0.15u (6 won, 1 pushed, 3 lost from 10).

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